Posts filed under “Markets”

2005: A Bumpy Year

Great column this morn by the NYT’s Floyd Norris: The Wisdom of Wall St.? Sometimes It’s Wrong. Its almost funny that someone has to even point that out.

Norris’ column is (as always) astute, but what really got me excited was the ginormous chart:

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click for astoundingly big chart:

Bumpylarge

Courtesy of NYT

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Source:
The Wisdom of Wall St.? Sometimes It’s Wrong
FLOYD NORRIS
NYT, January 3, 2006
http://www.nytimes.com/2006/01/03/business/03stox.html

Graphic: A Bumpy Year
http://www.nytimes.com/imagepages/2006/01/02/business/20060103_BUMP_GRAPHIC.html

Category: Economy, Financial Press, Markets

Margin Debt Hits 5-Year High

Category: Investing, Markets, Psychology

P/E Expansion and Contraction

Category: Investing, Markets, Psychology

Death of Volatility

Category: Markets, Psychology, Technical Analysis, Trading

P/E vs S&P 500 (50 Years)

As promised, today brings us to the 4th in our series of charts: P/E vs S&P500 click for larger chart courtesy of Mike Panzner, Rabo Securities > I’ll get into the significance of what this means to the markets later, but for now, note where the P/E is over the median, and its impact on…Read More

Category: Earnings, Markets, Psychology, Technical Analysis

1966-1982 Trading Range

Here’s the 1966-1982 trading range: > click for larger chart chart courtesy of Rydex Funds > If we are in fact in a long, post-Bull trading range — see our 100-year Dow chart — than this is year ~5 of what could be a 10-15 year secular Bear market. As the 1966-82 trading range above…Read More

Category: Markets

100 Year Dow Jones Industrials Chart

Have a look at this 100 year (actually, 105-Year) chart. I colored each “Market” appropriately — Green for Bull, and Red for Bear — to more clearly show what happens. Bull markets get ahead of themselves. At their ends, they tend towards excesses that take a very long while to recover from. When a long…Read More

Category: Markets, Psychology, Technical Analysis

4 Year Presidential Cycle

This is the first of 4 charts I plan on revealing this week. Each one will hopefully shed some insight into what we may expect in 2006. This chart shows what is known as the 4 year or Presidential Cycle. The theory behind this is that U.S. markets have a tendency to make a high…Read More

Category: Markets, Technical Analysis

Trading Before/After Holidays

Category: Markets

What are the odds of 2006 being a positive year?

Category: Investing, Markets