Posts filed under “Markets”

Chart of the Week: First Q 4% Year End Performance

The S&P 500 index is up 4.38% YTD. History suggests when the market’s gain of 4%+ in Q1, it often presages double-digit moves – up or down – in the S&P 500 for the entire year.
Double Digit Full Year Gains & Losses (1956-2005)


Source:  Mike Panzner, Rabo

Since 1956, the market has gained 4% in 27 out of 49 Q1s, or 55% of the time. When that has occurred, the full-year sees a greater-than-10% rise or fall on 20 of 27 occasions (74.07%). Median double-digit gains over 12 months were +25.77%. Median losses were 13.09%.


Random Items:

At long last, a new home sale slump

Offshoring: The Next Industrial Revolution?

M3, R.I.P.

Apple vs  Apple over core business

Crushing Small Innovators

Argentina’s Floating Icebergs Worry Farmers Who Fear Flooding

Caricatures of the prophet Muhammad in Danish newspapers



Quote of the Day: 

“Behold, my son, with what little wisdom the world is ruled.”
-Count Axel Gustafsson Oxenstierna (1853-1654), from a 1648 letter to his son at the conclusion of the 30 Years War

Category: Markets, Technical Analysis

Mid-East Stock Slide

Category: Markets, Psychology, Technical Analysis

New Real Estate Phase: Repricing Houses Downwards?

Category: Economy, Federal Reserve, Markets, Real Estate

Barron’s: Buh-bye to Citibank Panic Euphoria Measure?

Category: Financial Press, Markets, Psychology, Technical Analysis

The Music of the Market

Lately, I have been noticing that many economists, analysts and strategists have been having some sly fun by naming their research after songs.

My own contributions to the space have been the past two commentaries: Bad Moon Arising, and Been Down So Long (It looks like up to me).

But I also noticed that John Roque’s past two comment’s were titled BRIC House, and R-E-S-P-E-C-T. AndMorgan Stanley asked: Will the Real Slim Saving Rate Please Stand Up?

Most of these players came of age during the Golden Age of Rock-N-Roll (Disco era aside) in the 60s, 70s, and 80s. I’m bettting that most of this crew (present company included) are in their 30s or 40s.

Read More

Category: Markets, Music

Relative Outperformance: Low Quality Stocks

Category: Investing, Markets, Technical Analysis

Been Down So Long (It looks like up to me)

Category: Economy, Financial Press, Investing, Markets, Psychology

5 Year Performance, Selected Markets

Category: Investing, Markets

Where are the Bears?

Category: Financial Press, Investing, Markets, Psychology

Nasdaq Volume Decreasing

Category: Markets, Technical Analysis