Posts filed under “Markets”
For data buffs: Stephen Suttmeier of BAML points put that this is the 5th-longest S&P 500 streak above the 200-day MA going back to 1928.
“The S&P 500 Index moved above its 200-day moving average on November 19, 2012 and has not closed below it on a daily basis for 21 months. The record is 30 months between 11/25/1953 and 5/23/1956.
The last time we had a streak of 21 months was between 7/27/1950 and 4/30/1952, which coincided with the S&P 500 secular bull market breakout in 1950. The current streak is part of the secular bull market breakout in April 2013. This 21-month streak for the S&P 500 above its 200-day moving average is another similarity between the current secular breakout and the secular breakout from 1950.”
Many years ago, when I was a poor and humble graduate student, I taught the prep course for students taking the GMATs and LSATs. I understood the internal logic and game theory needed to succeed on standardized tests, and could explain techniques used to do well on them. One of the keys to succeeding on…Read More
One of the concerns for investors is how markets keep powering higher despite all of the geopolitical turmoil: The grinding Syrian civil war that has spilled into Iraq, the clash between Israel and Gaza, the Crimea annexation and now the confrontation between Russia and Ukraine. That thinking gets the issue precisely backward. The proper question…Read More
Succinct Summations Week Ending August 15th Positives: 1. The S&P 500 gained 1.4% on the week and is just 1.5% off the all-time highs. 2. NFIB small business optimism rose to 95.7, up from95 previously. 3. U.K. unemployment fell to 6.4%, the lowest level since ’08. 4. Consumer confidence in Japan rose to an 8-month…Read More
On this date 32 years ago, the New York Times included the following paragraph in an article titled, “Dark Days On Wall Street.” In the past two weeks, all the market averages have plunged to new lows as Wall Street, beset by cruel economic news from all sides, has time after time been unable to…Read More
Welcoming Remarks at Workshop on the Risks of Wholesale Funding August 13, 2014 William C. Dudley, President and Chief Executive Officer Remarks at the Workshop on the Risks of Wholesale Funding, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, New York City As prepared for delivery* It is a pleasure to welcome you to the New…Read More
Recent Owners’ Equivalent Rent Inflation Is Probably Not a Blip Amy Higgins and Randal Verbrugge 8.11.14 Recently, the overall rate of inflation has risen, owing partly to inflation in Owners’ Equivalent Rent (OER). But many wonder if the current rate of OER inflation, which is now at levels not seen since 2009, is…Read More
On this day in 1987, Alan Greenspan became chairman of the Federal Reserve Board. This anniversary allows us to take a quick look at what followed over the next two decades. As it turned out, it was one of the most interesting and, to be blunt, weirdest tenures ever for a Fed chairman. This was…Read More