Posts filed under “Markets”

I wish you’d leave your work at home.

Source: Adhesive Comics

Category: Markets

Kiron Sarkar Weekly Report 8.30.14

In spite of the increased geopolitical tensions, oil prices (Brent) have not risen by as much as normally would be the case. Prices are still being impacted by Libya as it increases its production and exports (though internal fighting has increased, which could threaten supplies) and by rising oil production from territory controlled by the…Read More

Category: Markets, Think Tank

Succinct Summations of Week’s Events 8.29.14

Succinct Summations week ending August 29th Positives: 1. S&P 500 crossed 2,000 for the first time ever and took just 94 days to climb from 1,900 to 2k. 2. Pending home sales rose 3% m/o/m vs expectations of a 0.5% rise. 3. 2Q GDP rose 4.2% annualized vs expectations of a 4% rise. 4. Durable…Read More

Category: Markets

About David Tice’s 60% Crash Call . . .

Earlier this week, Prudent Bear fund founder David Tice warned of an imminent crash — as bad as 30-60% down on the S&P500. One small thing: This is pretty much the same call that Tice made in 2010 and 2012. Apparently, if you make the same crash call every 2 years, most of the media…Read More

Category: Markets, Really, really bad calls, Sentiment, Short Selling

10 Thursday PM Reads

My afternoon train reads: • The Challenge (Reformed Broker) see also Your asset allocation is wrong (and so is everyone else’s.) (Bason Asset Management) • What’s The Matter With France? (Krugman) • Europe’s Banks to Offload $770 Billion of Non-Core Property Assets (World Property Channel) see also Europe Bank Cleanup Driving $1.72 Trillion of Asset…Read More

Category: Markets

Sitting Is Killing You


Category: Markets

How the Dow S&P500 Has Changed

  S&P Closes Above 2,000 for First Time Source: WSJ

Category: Index/ETFs, Markets

Stack: Competition to Call the Next Bear Market

Jim Stack of Investech has described what he calls “the competition to call the next bear market.” We have been going discussing this issue, and I am saving his comments for a Bloomberg column next week. But here is a flavor of what he has been writing, from his most recent commentary: 2011 We’re In…Read More

Category: Markets

Succinct Summation of Week’s Events 8.22.14

Succinct Summations week ending August 22nd Positives: 1. S&P 500 made a new all-time high. 2. Existing homes sales increased to 2.4%, the biggest increase in almost a year. 3. Housing starts exploded 15.7% m/o/m, the fastest pace in 8 months. 4. Jobless claims fell to 298k vs the 303k expected and down from 311k…Read More

Category: Markets

Weekendend Homework: Sources & Research on Shiller’s CAPE

I have a fairly long piece coming out looking at CAPE, but for those of you interested, here are the research and resources I used: Fixing the Shiller CAPE: Accounting, Dividends, and the Permanently High Plateau   PHILOSOPHICAL ECONOMICS December 13, 2013 @Jesse_Livermore An Old Friend: The Stock Market’s Shiller P/E, Clifford S. Asness, Ph.D., AQR’s…Read More

Category: Markets, Philosophy, Valuation