Posts filed under “Media”

Media Appearence


I’m on Fox today (Your World with Neil Cavuto @ 4pm EST) discussing good and bad mergers over the past few years.

See the previous post for an overview of the conversation . . .

Category: Media

Time: Not on the Recording Industry’s Side II

Category: Current Affairs, Film, Finance, Media, Music, Sports, Television

It’s not whether the Medals matter or not


Today’s New York Times has an OpEd titled “The Medals Don’t Matter.” It’s by Jake Tapper, who is a well regarded ABC News Correspondent (formerly of Salon). The article reaches the conclusion that voters do not care about the military service of their Presidential candidates.

To reach this feat of logical deduction, Jake focused primarily on the 1992, 1996 and 2000 Presidential elections (and the 2000 GOP primary), and the Military Service of each candidate.

There are many, many analytical errors in his approach, sample size being the most obvious. But let’s focus instead on a very common logic error which seems to catch most people unaware:

Controlling for a single variable instead of many when analyzing complex systems.

I would be oversimplifying the situation were I to call this error, well, a mere oversimplification. But that’s what lay at the heart of this fallacy: Taking an extremely complex and dynamic issue — who won the Presidency and why — and then boiling it down to a single, and in this small sample, mostly minor issue. The author might as well have based it upon how many letters were in the men’s first and last names.

Presidential victories are the result of a far more nuanced and multi-faceted set of factors. This issue deserves to be examined in far greater depth . . .

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Category: Media, Politics, War/Defense

Read it here first: Earnings vs the market

Category: Finance, Media

Hangin’ out with Steve Forbes

Category: Media

Forbes on Fox

Category: Media


Category: Finance, Media

The Definitive Disney Dissing

Category: Film, Finance, Media

Greenspan Goes to Disneyland!

Category: Finance, Media, Politics

Chart of the Week: Nonfarm Payrolls % change from recession end

Category: Finance, Media