Posts filed under “Politics”

Presidential Election Indicators

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We spend a lot of time discussing various market indicators, and how to balance some against others when they are in apparent conflict.

So when I came across Dan Froomkin‘s take of USA Today six ‘reliable’ presidential-election indicators, I simply had to reproduce them:

Economic formula suggest Bush wins;
Low approval-rating precedent says Kerry wins;
War-president precedent says Bush wins;
Ohio is a bellwether: Tossup;
Northern Democrats don’t stand a chance. Bush wins;
Kerry is taller; Kerry wins

The fact that these disagree with each other makes them all the more amusing . . .

Sources:
Election-predicting tools point both ways
Depending on which criteria you use, either Bush or Kerry is a lock to win in November
Susan Page
USA TODAY, June 24, 2004

http://www.usatoday.com/usatonline/20040624/6314204s.htm

White House Briefing
Dan Froomkin
Washington Post, Thursday, Jun 24, 2004; 11:50 AM

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/politics/administration/whbriefing/

Category: Politics

Battleground States (part 4)

Category: Politics

Bush, Terrorism & Iraq

Category: Politics, War/Defense

Reagan’s Centrist Legacy

Category: Politics

Battleground States Remain Tight

Category: Politics

Bush & the Reagan Legacy

Category: Finance, Politics

WSJ: Battleground States & Unemployment

Category: Finance, Politics

Nader Impact Growing ?

Category: Politics

Economist Wanted

Category: Finance, Politics

WSJ: Battleground States

Category: Politics