Posts filed under “Psychology”

Frustrating the Majority

Jeff Saut dug into the archives for this one on Monday:

“Money managers are unhappy because 70% of them are lagging the S&P 500 and see the end of another quarter approaching. Economists are unhappy because they do not know what to believe: this month’s forecast of a strong economy or last month’s forecast of a weak economy. Technicians are unhappy because the market refuses to correct and gets more and more extended. Foreigners are unhappy because due to their underinvested status in the U.S., they have missed the biggest double-play (a big currency move plus a big stock market move) in decades. The public is unhappy because they just plain missed out on the party after being scared into cash after the crash. It almost seems ungrateful for so many to be unhappy about a market that has done so well. … Unhappy people would prefer the market to correct to allow them to buy and feel happy, which is just the reason for a further rise. Frustrating the majority is the market’s primary goal.”

-Bob Farrell, Merrill Lynch (9/5/1989)

Great stuff!

 

Previously:
Bob Farrell’s 10 Rules for Investing  (August 17th, 2008)

Lessons from Merrill Lynch  (January 10th, 2010)

Category: Investing, Markets, Psychology

Market Sentiment Screams Crash! Or Buy! Or Something…

Today, let us briefly address sentiment – what it is, what it means and how to use it in your everyday trading. There is no piece of market data that is more misused, misunderstood or misapplied than sentiment. The spark for today’s diatribe was a State Street study of cash allocations in investment portfolios. The…Read More

Category: Psychology, Sentiment, Trading

The Spending Habits of the 0.01%

Attention peasants: The Greubel Forsey GMT at $549,000 Source: Greubel Forsey I have been hearing a lot about the spending habits of the 0.01 percent lately. Perhaps, a little bit too much. Don’t worry, this isn’t going to be a class-warfare rant or a treatise on living the simpler, less materialistic life. Rather, it is…Read More

Category: Consumer Spending, Psychology, Really, really bad calls

MTA Presentation: Risk, Trading & Neurofinance

Click through for the free registration:   MTA New York Chapter Meeting June 23, 2014 Featuring Barry Ritholtz presented by Bloomberg L.P. The New York Chapter of the MTA invites you to our next chapter meeting on Monday, June 23, 2014. We are honored to have Barry Ritholtz, founder and chief investment officer of Ritholtz…Read More

Category: Markets, Psychology

PSYOPS – Wars Are Fought On and Off the Battlefield

Source: Online-Psychology-Degree.com h/t Washington’s Blog

Category: Digital Media, Psychology, War/Defense

Be Wrong Like Ray Dalio

In yesterday’s column, I wrote: If you have an issue with Social Security, then fix it. The regressive taxes to fund retirement benefits top out at about $117,000 in 2014. Why not simply raise that to $250,000 next year and $500,000 during the next 20 years. Congratulations, you just made Social Security solvent for the…Read More

Category: Cognitive Foibles, Corporate Management, Hedge Funds, Psychology

Category: Asset Allocation, Investing, Psychology, Think Tank

June 23: MTA NY Meeting

MTA New York Chapter Meeting June 23, 2014 Featuring Barry Ritholtz presented by Bloomberg L.P. The New York Chapter of the MTA invites you to our next chapter meeting on Monday, June 23, 2014. We are honored to have Barry Ritholtz, founder and chief investment officer of Ritholtz Wealth Management and author of Bailout Nation, present…Read More

Category: Markets, Psychology

What Are The Cult Firms of Today?

@ritholtz I’ve read about other orgs before, and they don’t usually talk about a “search for the truth” and “getting to the other side” — Joseph Weisenthal (@TheStalwart) June 8, 2014     The other day, I got into a Twitter discussion with Joe Weisenthal and others on the hedge fund Bridgewater. A WSJ article had described…Read More

Category: Corporate Management, Philosophy, Psychology

A Bear Market for Mom & Pop Investors

Last year, we noted that there was a “Bubble in Bubble Calling.” News media bubble chatter was the rage, whether it was tech initial public offerings or stocks or bonds — all caused by “a global central bank QE bubble.” Here we are two quarters later, with the central bank reducing quantitative easing by scaling…Read More

Category: Investing, Markets, Psychology, Sentiment