Posts filed under “Quantitative”

Three of the Nasdaq Four Horseman Are Limping

Apple (AAPL), Google (GOOG) and Baidu (BIDU) — three of the NASDAQ FOUR HORSEMAN – have been coming up gimpy since their FusionIQ timing sell signals (triggered at much higher levels several weeks ago).

These stocks have fallen precipitously since those Sells.

Only Research in Motion (RIMM) — which gapped open strongly yesterday — acts well. The other three horsemen stocks have clearly broken their uptrends, and are in the process of being repriced. We point this out because trading highly volatile names like these can be dangerous especially if one doesn’t have a Sell Discipline.

Unbiased, indicator-driven trading signals can help make you a better investor. Whether its based on technicals, fundamentals, valuation or quantitative research, having a non-emotional layer to your investing/trading plan is always helpful. 

I am biased towards our signals (FusionIQ), but any objective timing method that would have gotten you out of the way in these 3 names weeks ago is a good thing — you would have avoided a lot of pain.

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Four Horseman of Nasdaq

note: Sell Signals are indicated with a red "S"

 Apple (AAPL) 
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Category: Markets, Quantitative, Technical Analysis, Trading

AIG: Don’t Try to Catch the Falling Knife

Category: Derivatives, Quantitative, Technical Analysis, Valuation

The Flawed Fed Valuation Model

There are lots of things that investors believe which I find perplexing. The Superbowl indicator is one, but the oddest to me is the so-called Fed Model, also known as the IBES Valuation Model. It is not that the Fed model is so terribly wrong — it has been both right and wrong over the…Read More

Category: Data Analysis, Earnings, Fixed Income/Interest Rates, Quantitative, Valuation

Fun With Data Analysis: The Art of the Plausible

Category: Apprenticed Investor, Data Analysis, Markets, Mathematics, Quantitative

Barron’s Stocks

Category: Quantitative

Risk Model

Category: Markets, Psychology, Quantitative

Baseball Stats and Freakonomics Wannabes . . .

Category: Data Analysis, Mathematics, Quantitative

Free Trial: Fusion IQ

Category: Quantitative

Coming soon: High End Quant Tool for Investors

Category: Quantitative

One Way Days: Are the rules different this time ?

Category: Hedge Funds, Investing, Markets, Psychology, Quantitative, Technical Analysis, Trading