Posts filed under “Real Estate”

Top Ticking Real Estate is Different Than Stocks

Nice pair of charts from Northern Trust that show even as sales slow down:

Single_family_home_sales

Prices still remain relatively robust:

Median_sales_price_single_family_homes

That may seem counter intuitive to equity traders; when you top tick a stock, its all down hill from there. But the money flow, finacing and resistance levels are different.

Except for first home buyers, top ticking on a buy  also implies top ticking the sell, too. A buyer into a over priced/high priced market is also a seller into that same pricey market.

Indeed, rolling a few $100k out of one overpriced home — and into another — is very different than buying Google at $460 or Apple at $83 . . .

>


UPDATE January 26, 2006 2:29pm

So I post this on the way out the door to a lunch meeting, and then in the cab on the way, I immediately think of exceptions: First time buyers, speculators, builders/developers,  etc. 

But that still leaves somewhere between 50 and 75% or so of buyers as simultaneous sellers also.

In my mind, the significance of this is that the Real Estate may slow down in a slow motion fashion also.

>

Source:
Housing Market Is Certainly Cooling Down
Asha Banglore
Northern Trust, January 25, 2006 

http://tinyurl.com/975oe

Category: Investing, Markets, Psychology, Real Estate, Trading

Equity Extraction Fades, What Happens As As Home Sales Slow?

Category: Economy, Real Estate, Retail

Home Equity Loans Fall of the Cliff

Alan Abelson, in this morning’s Barron’s, quotes Macro-Maven’s Stephanie Pomboy on why the consumer is soon to be spent-out: “Whatever those worthies were smoking, it must have smelled pretty good because the investment mood until this past week was happily, giddily upbeat. The sentiment readings were almost uniformly bullish. Those blue skies were virtually cloudless:…Read More

Category: Economy, Real Estate, Retail

Soft Spots Go Beyond Employment

Category: Earnings, Economy, Employment, Inflation, Real Estate, Retail

Remodeling, Building Brace for Slowing

Category: Real Estate

Danger time?

Category: Economy, Federal Reserve, Real Estate

Consumer Spending and Housing Correlation

Category: Economy, Real Estate, Retail

House for Sale (Delivery Not Included)

Category: Real Estate

McCulley on MEW

Category: Economy, Real Estate

New Home Sales versus Housing Starts and Permits

Category: Real Estate