Posts filed under “Real Estate”

Why Does Everyone Hate Home Ownership ?

U.S. homeownership falls to the lowest levels in almost 20 years, blared the headlines. Lots of articles explained “Why Your Home is Not a Good Investment” and why Americans think owning a home is better for them than it is. It seems that America’s former love affair with real estate is over.

Blame the recency effect. People have a disconcerting tendency to give more weight to what just happened than long-term trends. This is why the monthly jobs report, a very rough estimate, has such an outsize impact on the markets. This same effect is what is driving people toward renting over buying.

A little context is needed.

Let me preface this by noting I was very bearish on U.S. residential real estate in the last decade. All the metrics — median income to median home price, cost of renting versus owning, residential real estate value relative to gross domestic product — showed an extremely overvalued market by two to three standard deviations. Before it was all over, economists Carmen Reinhart and Ken Rogoff argued that we were in a credit bubble and housing was due for a 35 percent crash. Continues here

 

Category: Credit, Data Analysis, Real Estate

The Refi Boom Is Over

Mortgage lending declined to the lowest level in 14 years as homeowners pulled back sharply from refinancing and house hunters showed little appetite for new loans. Nick Timiraos joins MoneyBeat.

 

 

Category: Credit, Real Estate, Video

Declining Migration Within the U.S.: The Role of the Labor Market

Category: Credit, Employment, Real Estate, Think Tank

The Mystery of the Missing Home Buyers

This week, the New York Times launched The Upshot, combining aspects of the Washington Post’s Wonkblog with Nate Silver’s 538. Edited by Pulitzer Prize winner and former economics columnist David Leonhardt, we linked to the inaugural piece “America’s Middle Class Is No Longer the World’s Richest.” This morning, I want to direct your attention to…Read More

Category: Credit, Real Estate

Hoisington: On the Fed and the Wealth Effect

Hoisington Investment Management – Quarterly Review and Outlook, First Quarter 2014 John Mauldin April 23, 2014     In today’s Outside the Box, Lacy Hunt and Van Hoisington of Hoisington Investment have the temerity to point out that since the Great Recession officially ended in 2009, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) has been consistently…Read More

Category: Federal Reserve, Investing, Real Estate, Think Tank

How Is Winter Weather Affecting Home Sale Data?

Source: Calculated Risk   I have heard a fair amount of chatter about the awful winter weather’s impact on home sales. Let’s clarify the different measures in use for New and Existing Home Sales to see what we can find. U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development jointly release the…Read More

Category: Data Analysis, Real Estate

The Rich Buy Real Estate; The Poor Want Gold

If you want to know what someone’s views of society are, ask what they believe is the best long-term investment. I am fascinated each year when Gallup Poll asks Americans to choose the best option among real estate, stocks and mutual funds, gold, savings accounts and CDs, or bonds. The results are a pop psychologist’s…Read More

Category: Gold & Precious Metals, Investing, Psychology, Real Estate

Race to the Top

My pal Jonathan over at Miller Samuel shows us this awesome graphic of high rising apartment buildings in NYC:   click for ginormous graphic Source: Miller Samuel

Category: Digital Media, Real Estate

Category: Real Estate, Think Tank

How the Land Lies for U.S. Home Builders

Source: WSJ   Continues here.

Category: Economy, Markets, Real Estate