Posts filed under “Really, really bad calls”

10 Insane Things We Believe On Wall Street

To outsiders, Wall Street is a manic, dangerous and ridiculous republic unto itself – a sort of bizarro world where nothing adds up and common sense is virtually inapplicable.

Consider the following insane things that we believe on Wall Street, that make no sense whatsoever in the real world:

1. Falling gas and home heating prices are a bad thing

2. Layoffs are great news, the more the better

3. Billionaires from Greenwich, CT can understand the customers of JC Penney, Olive Garden, K-Mart and Sears

4. A company is plagued by the fact that it holds over $100 billion in cash

5. Some companies have to earn a specific profit – to the penny – every quarter but others shouldn’t dare even think about profits

6. Wars, weather, fashion trends and elections can be reliably predicted

7. It’s reasonable for the value of a business to fluctuate by 5 to 10 percent within every eight hour period

8. It’s possible to guess the amount of people who will get or lose a job each month in a nation of 300 million

9. The person who leads a company is worth 400 times more than the average person who works there

10. A company selling 10 million cars a year is worth $50 billion, but another company selling 40,000 cars a year is worth $30 billion because its growing faster

Away from Wall Street, no one believes in any of this stuff. It’s inconceivable. On Wall Street, these are core tenets of our collective philosophy.

No wonder everyone else thinks we’re insane.

Category: Corporate Management, Investing, Philosophy, Really, really bad calls

Go on the Daily Show!

Last week, we had the announcement of the end of Jon Stewart’s run on The Daily Show. I had been saving this column for the next TDS disaster, but rather than hold it, I decided to set it free. Enjoy. ~~~ A few months ago, my fellow Bloomberg View columnist Megan McCardle anticipated just such a…Read More

Category: Humor, Media, Really, really bad calls, Television

The worst anti-vaccine arguments

Source: Quartz

Category: Digital Media, Humor, Really, really bad calls, Science, UnScience

TDS: Guardians of the Veracity

Category: Financial Press, Really, really bad calls, Television, Video

Pharmaceutical Companies’ Marketing to Doctors

Pharmaceutical companies spend billions of dollars marketing drugs to doctors. We have a few issues with that.

Last Week Tonight with John Oliver: Marketing to Doctors

Source: HBO

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Category: Legal, Really, really bad calls, Video

More Dumb Economic Conspiracy Nonsense

Friday’s jobs numbers were big, and the revisions below the surface were huge. Yet even before the release, the birther/vaxxer/flat-earther crowd had warned us about phony numbers. As public policy, this kind conspiracy thinking can cause the deaths of infants and the elderly. At least in markets, it merely loses you money. In December, I wrote: Today’s column is about stupidity. Perhaps…Read More

Category: Data Analysis, Economy, Employment, Really, really bad calls

Adventures in Banking: Responsibility & Blame

Morgan Housel makes the delightful if infuriating observation that bank execs take credit — along with fat paychecks and even fatter bonuses — on the way up. On the way down, its always seems to be someone else’s fault: Robert Rubin, a former Treasury Secretary, joined Citigroup in 1999 as chairman of the executive committee. He was…Read More

Category: Bailouts, Corporate Management, Really, really bad calls

Americans Don’t Know Much About Science

Hey Dummy! You I am talkin at:   Source: Pew Research    

Category: Really, really bad calls, Science

Should You Vaccinate Your Child?

Source: Flowing Data

Category: Digital Media, Really, really bad calls, Science

Don’t Play Probalities Like the Seahawks in Investing

Last week, I was in Seattle for an event sponsored by the CFA Institute. The trip was booked long before any of us knew the Seahawks were going to defend their championship title in Super Bowl XLIX. Following the Seahawks’ amazing comeback in the NFC Championship versus the Green Bay Packers on Jan. 18, the city…Read More

Category: Bad Math, Investing, Really, really bad calls, Sports