Posts filed under “Sentiment”

Investor Sentiment and the Business Cycle

Nice way to show how the investor sentiment cycle lags behind the business cycle, yet manages to follow it . . .


Source: Dunno where exhibit 15.1 came from, if anyone can help that would be appreciated, but I saw it via Twitter

Category: Cycles, Sentiment

Recalling the Smart Money Index

One of the articles in my morning reads yesterday was an intriguing story by the Wall Street Journal with the headline, “Why Morning Is the Worst Time to Trade Stocks.” It reminded me of someone who in my early days in the 1990s was very formative in my philosophy of markets and investing: Don Hays. (See this 2001…Read More

Category: Sentiment, Technical Analysis, Trading

Barron’s: Strategists Are Still Bullish

This is an interesting cover from a sentiment perspective, although its not much of a surprise that the Bulls are still bullish.

Category: Financial Press, Sentiment

What If They Threw a Panic and No One Came?

Source: Bianco Research     “Its enough to give a long-term investor some hope for the future of finance.”   Here’s a bit of role reversal for you: Mom and Pop were content to ride out the market’s volatility this past month, more or less sitting tight. Meanwhile, the pros were driven to the point…Read More

Category: ETFs, Investing, Psychology, Sentiment

Data Points to Ponder During Today’s Selloff

China’s markets set the tone for the day (and perhaps the week) with an 8.5 percent blood-letting. Global stocks followed suit, which came after last week’s 5 percent tumble. Rather than tell you that markets are oversold — you already know that anyway, and oversold markets can become even more oversold — I want to bring a…Read More

Category: Investing, Markets, Sentiment

Reminder: Stocks Go Up AND Down . . .

I am reminded how utterly worthless as a market observer/financial adviser Suze Orman is in this series of tweets. Its simply amazing how much terrible advice and lack of comprehension people can reveal in a mere 140 characters.   “Demands for low rates begin as the financial class panics”   Hat tip: Vulgar Trader

Category: Markets, Really, really bad calls, Sentiment

How to Destroy A Market, China-Style

Click for ginormous chart A market, by definition, is a place where buyers and sellers can come together to exchange goods and services. That involves buying and selling those goods. Once you eliminate that free trading, you no longer have a market. Then there is China, where the authorities have suspended the sale of half of the…Read More

Category: Markets, Sentiment

Colbert Shows How to React to a Market Collapse


A message from the Supply Lord of The Afterscape.


Apocalypse Dow

Hat tip WSJ


Category: Humor, Markets, Sentiment, Video

The World’s Most Respected Companies

Source: WSJ

Category: Corporate Management, Sentiment

NFIB: Why So Negative?

Small business sentiment readings are now over their 20 year average, and have moved steadily higher since the crisis ended in 2009. If that uptrend was a stock price, all your momentum trader friends would be buyers. But you certainly would not get that from reading the NFIB news releases. They have been consistently, persistently,…Read More

Category: Economy, Sentiment