Posts filed under “Sentiment”

Where Did All the Bulls Go?


Source: BofA Merrill Lynch, Global Research, Bloomberg

 

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Category: Markets, Sentiment

Does Increased M&A = Potential Market Top ?

FT: When investors are complacent, stupid deals happen Source: FT     Last week, I pointed out some statistical errors in a chart suggesting that Rupert Murdoch’s bid for Time Warner was a sign of the market’s top. The chart had enough omissions to render it useless. Today, I want to show you a (slightly)…Read More

Category: M&A, Markets, Sentiment

3 reasons to ignore all these “correction” calls

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correction

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Category: Cycles, Sentiment, Video

Market Sentiment Screams Crash! Or Buy! Or Something…

Today, let us briefly address sentiment – what it is, what it means and how to use it in your everyday trading. There is no piece of market data that is more misused, misunderstood or misapplied than sentiment. The spark for today’s diatribe was a State Street study of cash allocations in investment portfolios. The…Read More

Category: Psychology, Sentiment, Trading

Why Is It So Hard to Call a Market Top?

Each morning, I go through a similar routine: I wake up (no alarm clock), go to the kitchen to get a cup of coffee (this is my machine of choice lately), launch a script that opens 40 or so Firefox tabs. As part of my morning research, I quickly scan this series of websites to…Read More

Category: Investing, Sentiment, Short Selling, Technical Analysis, Trading

A Bear Market for Mom & Pop Investors

Last year, we noted that there was a “Bubble in Bubble Calling.” News media bubble chatter was the rage, whether it was tech initial public offerings or stocks or bonds — all caused by “a global central bank QE bubble.” Here we are two quarters later, with the central bank reducing quantitative easing by scaling…Read More

Category: Investing, Markets, Psychology, Sentiment

Do You See the Positives or Negatives?

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index hit an all-time high yesterday, closing at 1,897.45. The Dow Jones Industrial Average also hit a record, ending at 16,715.44. This should be tempered by noting that the Dow is up less than 1 percent so far this year, while the S&P 500 has gained about 2.7 percent. One…Read More

Category: Data Analysis, Earnings, Psychology, Sentiment, Valuation

Today in Bubble History: eToys IPO

Is today like 1999? Consider: 1999: eToys Inc., a startup Internet retailer, goes public on NASDAQ. Initially expected to be priced at $10-$12 per share, the stock is underwritten at $20 and quadruples before the opening bell can even ring. The first trade is at an astonishing $83 9/16. The shares close the day at…Read More

Category: Bubbles, IPOs, Sentiment

U.S. Money Managers Are Cautiously Optimistic

From Barron’s big money poll; The mix of neutral and bearish managers at 44% seems high — I’d love to see that plotted over a long period on a chart.   Source: Barron’s

Category: Investing, Psychology, Sentiment

AAII Sentiment: Bulls & Bears

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Category: Digital Media, Sentiment