Posts filed under “Technical Analysis”

Analyzing Dips in the S&P’s Path

Bloomberg’s Michael Regan reports on stock market fluctuations and what they mean for investors.


Source: Bloomberg, Sept. 25 2014

Category: Federal Reserve, Hedge Funds, Technical Analysis, Video

Get Ready for the Shanghai Composite Break Out

  China is on the verge of breaking out from its pattern of consolidation, at least according to the monthly chart book from the analytics team at Bank of America Merrill Lynch. If you look at the chart above you can see that the Shanghai Composite Index is in the midst of transitioning into an…Read More

Category: Markets, Technical Analysis, Trading

Volatility Over the Past Century

Source: Goldman Sachs via FT Alphaville     Despite what you might have heard recently, as it turns out, periods of low volatility are not particularly unusual. Have a look at the chart nearby. It comes to us from Goldman Sachs via FT Alphaville, and it shows that spikes in volatility are quite unusual. Periods of…Read More

Category: Markets, Technical Analysis, Trading

Why Is It So Hard to Call a Market Top?

Each morning, I go through a similar routine: I wake up (no alarm clock), go to the kitchen to get a cup of coffee (this is my machine of choice lately), launch a script that opens 40 or so Firefox tabs. As part of my morning research, I quickly scan this series of websites to…Read More

Category: Investing, Sentiment, Short Selling, Technical Analysis, Trading

Is This the End of the Secular Gold Bull?

In the beginning of this year, we looked at some of the trading errors commonly made by gold investors during this cycle. At the time, gold had fallen 38 percent from its 2011 peak. Yesterday, spot gold traded at less than $1,242 before closing slightly higher. Gold is hitting new multiyear lows relative to the…Read More

Category: Cycles, Gold & Precious Metals, Markets, Technical Analysis

The VIX, Variance Premium and Stock Market Volatility

Category: Options, Technical Analysis, Think Tank, Trading

If Stocks Go Up, Must They Always Come Down?

What’s gone up won’t always come down Barry Ritholtz Washington Post, April 20 2014     U.S. equity markets made substantial gains last year. The Standard & Poor’s 500-stock index, the traditional benchmark for equities, was up 29.6 percent. Add in dividends, and it’s well over 30 percent. Technology and small-cap stocks did even better, with…Read More

Category: Apprenticed Investor, Investing, Technical Analysis, Valuation

Video: Signs of a Stock Market Top?

click for video
tops video

Source: Yahoo Finance

Category: Markets, Technical Analysis, Video

How Market Tops Get Made

With all the bubble chatter and talks of over-valued stock markets, I thought it was time to have a discussion with someone is the expert on the subject. In this case, that person would be Paul Desmond, chief strategist and President of Lowry’s Research. Desmond has spent the past five decades analyzing markets; his research…Read More

Category: Markets, Technical Analysis, Trading

S&P 500 Advance Decline Line Confirms New Highs

Source: BAML   Earlier today, we discussed why the new market highs are so bullish. Technicians like to look at determinants beyond prices to get a read on how a market’s internals are behaving. Stephen Suttmeier, a technical research analyst at Merrill Lynch & Co., points out that volume and breadth are just as important…Read More

Category: Markets, Technical Analysis