Posts filed under “Technical Analysis”

Chart of the Week: Fibonacci Retracement Graph

Kevin Lane notes that “short-term momentum indicators on the
NASDAQ Composite that suggest, in the near-term, the index may be a tad
extended and ripe for a shortterm pullback.”

Fibonacci Retracement Graph
click for larger graph

Source: Technimentals

“Overall, we think the intermediate term trend is for higher
prices, we could see some retracing back down towards the 2,127 level as the
NASDAQ reversed off the 2,200 level.”


Random Items:

Dow Theory Still Works

Capital Flow Sustainability and Speculative Currency Attacks

The CEO’s Tech Toolbox  

CAUTIOUS investment approach driving oil company strategies

Why Skype is Worth $3 Billion Dollars


The leap second: its history and possible future (pdf) 

The mathematics of evolution   


Quote of the Day:

"The first requisite of success
is the ability to apply your physical and mental energies to one problem
without growing weary." ~ Thomas

Category: Economy, Technical Analysis

Chart of the Week: NASDAQ w/ MACD momentum

Category: Economy, Markets, Technical Analysis

Time for a Pullback

Category: Investing, Psychology, Technical Analysis

Apprenticed Investor: Tracking Elephants, Part II

Category: Investing, Podcast, Psychology, Technical Analysis

Apprenticed Investor: Tracking Elephants, Part I

Tscm_1The latest "Apprentice Investor" column is up at Its called  "Tracking Elephants, Part I." 

Don’t be fooled by the title to this piece: "Tracking the Elephants" could just have easily been named "The non Technicians Guide to Technical Analysis (in two parts)." The idea was to reveal to fundamentalists a few of the more significant ways they can use charts to improve their results.


Here’s the ubiquitous excerpt:

"Here’s an interesting question: If you could look at one and only one source before buying your next stock, which would you choose: a fundamental analyst’s report (with no charts in it), or the chart of your choosing?  While I like having access to both, I cannot ever imagine buying something without first looking at the chart.

And so we wade into the ongoing battle between technical and fundamental analysts. Frankly, it’s one of the sillier debates in investing. But I’ve heard so many bad arguments and misleading theories about technical analysis that I decided to weigh in."

Before we wade too deeply into the controversy, ask yourself: "Why do I need to choose?" Why wouldn’t you use any tool that can be shown to have value? You wouldn’t build a house using only a hammer, but no drills or saws. Why limit yourself away from a tool that can assist you as an investor?

In the column, I used a chart of Ford — but it could have been just about any company , from JDSU to Lucent to World Con or Enron.

Ford’s Downtrend
click for larger graph


Prior columns can be found here.

To keep the column a modest length, a discussion about Janus Funds
selling of AOL Time Warner was edited out.  For your reading
pleasure, that section is here.


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Category: Markets, Podcast, Technical Analysis

John Murphy’s Ten Laws of Technical Trading’s Chief Technical Analyst, John Murphy, has created another set of trading rules:   “Ten Laws of Technical Trading:” “Which way is the market moving? How far up or down will it go? And when will it go the other way? These are the basic concerns of the technical analyst. Behind the charts and graphs and…Read More

Category: Rules, Technical Analysis, Trading

Where’s the Conviction ?

Category: Markets, Technical Analysis

Dollar Rebound ?

Category: Currency, Technical Analysis

Levels Matter

Category: Technical Analysis

Will April Showers Bring May Flowers?

Category: Markets, Technical Analysis