Posts filed under “Technical Analysis”

Gold Charts: 2000-Present, 2011, ’12, ’13

This is from a bigger project I am working on.

I found it interesting that even thought Gold hit its peak in 2011, it did not have a negative year until 2013:

 

2000-2013

~~~

2011

2012

2013

Category: Gold & Precious Metals, Technical Analysis

Huprich: Wisdom Comes in the Smallest of Packages.

We previously published Art Hurpichs’ Market Truisms and Axioms back in 2011.  Art is a CMT with Day Hagan Asset Management, and he returns with an updated set of Stock Market Rules to Remember. Enjoy. ~~~ As you are reading this, we are in the process of moving our “youngest” to Virginia, as he prepares for…Read More

Category: Rules, Technical Analysis, Trading

Major Trend Analysis

Major Trend Analysis The 2000-2003 Bear Market The Major Trend Indicator (MTI-black line) is helpful in identifying when the market is vulnerable to an intermediate correction within a bull market, and the onset of a bear market. Ongoing bull markets are confirmed when the MTI climbs above the green line. When a rally fails to…Read More

Category: Markets, Technical Analysis, Think Tank

Advance Decline Line (Market Breadth) Says No Top Yet

Source: Chart courtesy of Carl Swenlin, Decision Point (annotations by Ritholtz)   One of the best ways to identify a market that is exhausted is to look for divergences between Breadth (i.e. the number of advancing equities versus the number of declining ones) and Price (i.e. new highs). That is a concept that Paul Desmond…Read More

Category: Markets, Psychology, Technical Analysis

Merrill’s Secular Road Map Projects S&P 500 2300 in 2017

S&P 2300? Give It Four Years: Ritholtz Chart Source: BAML   It took more than 13 years, but the S&P 500 managed to eclipse its 2007 highs of 1576 earlier this year. This move takes it out of a long term trading range, and according to the Technical Analysts at Bank of America Merrill Lynch,…Read More

Category: Cycles, Technical Analysis

Does Too Few Bears = Correction?

  What do you get when you cross an overbought market with too few bears? Often, that combination of complacency leads to a correction. So far, all it has produced is a lot of frustrated contrarian traders. Stephen Suttmeier, technical strategist at Merrill Lynch, put the situation into broader context in his monthly chart book…Read More

Category: Sentiment, Technical Analysis

What Indices Are At All Time & 2013 Highs?

A hedge fund manager friend had mentioned a research report that had noted the Dow, FTSE and Nikkei were at neither all time nor 2013 highs. Those there indices sounded like it a bit of cherry picking to me. So rather than succumb to the usual confirmation bias, I decided to see what major indexes…Read More

Category: Investing, Markets, Technical Analysis

Shiller: U.S. Stocks Are ‘Highly Priced’

Shiller’s cyclically adjusted price-earnings ratio click for ginormous chart Source: Bloomberg     Robert J. Shiller, a co-winner of this year’s Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences says US stocks are expensive. They are the most expensive relative to earnings they have been in more than five years — since the lows follwoing the great collapse…Read More

Category: Technical Analysis, Valuation

90% Up Days Are Bullish

A 90% up day is bullish & the stats support a year-end rally click for giant table Source Merrill Lynch BA     On Thursday. we had a huge up day, with US markets gaining ~2%. Some folks credited the possibility of a debt ceiling deal, while others called it a low volume short covering…Read More

Category: Markets, Technical Analysis

Bull Market Corrections, 2009-2013

click for ginormous chart Source: Investech     We are almost through September and despite its reputation for volatility, the month has seen strong upside and new bull market highs. The S&P500 lost “only” 4.6% in August, but based on the Sturm und Drang you are forgiven for assuming it was 3X that amount. As…Read More

Category: Cycles, Markets, Technical Analysis