Posts filed under “Technical Analysis”

Why Do People Fear the Hindenburg Omen?

Not a track record to be proud of:
Source: Moneybeat



Hindenburg Omen? Put a Fork In It.  (March 26th, 2011)

The PermaBear to English Translation Guide (October 15th, 2010)

Category: Really, really bad calls, Technical Analysis

Analysts Chart Stocks’ Voyage to the Unknown

Click to enlarge Source: WSJ   Fun take on our uncharted territory via the WSJ

Category: Technical Analysis

Nikkei Downtrend (1982-Present)

click for ginormous chart Source: Kimble Charting   Awesome chart from Chris Kimble showing the Nikkei going back to 1982 — in particular, the downtrend that began in 1989 and still persists to this day. Chris notes that Declines of 32% to 60% taken place at this level for the past 20 years! One would…Read More

Category: ETFs, Investing, Technical Analysis

Random Thoughts: Comebacks, Intraday Reversals and the like

Since it is a Friday before a 3 day holiday weekend, it is a good time to kick back and think about what the recent market action might (or might not) mean. • Most Day-to-day market action is noise, There is very little signal involved, with the vast majority of commentary simply after-the-fact rationalizations of…Read More

Category: Investing, Markets, Psychology, Rules, Sentiment, Technical Analysis

Percentage of SPX Stocks Over 200 Day Moving Average

Renaissance Macro Research, May 14, 2013   Jeff deGraaf, technician extraordinaire (formerly of Lehman now at Renaissance Macro Research) makes an interesting observation about the heavily overbought markets. Last week, the S&P500 had ~93% of all stocks trading over their 200 day moving average. Normally, this degree of overbought should lead to a correction. As…Read More

Category: Markets, Sentiment, Technical Analysis

Merrill Lynch: Market Analysis Technical Handbook

    I wish I could find a public link for this: Merrill Lynch just put out a very cool 60 page “primer” on Technical Analysis. It covers the core concepts behind technicals, including Trends, Relative Price Analysis, Price Momentum Indicators, Reversals, The importance of volume, Support and Resistance, Market Breadth Market Sentiment, The Fibonacci…Read More

Category: Digital Media, Technical Analysis, Trading

S&P500 Long Term Breakout?

Source: Chart of the Day   The US stock markets continue to rally this week, with the S&P 500 trading up on the week. A longer term look at the S&P 500 since 2000 illustrates both the post dot com comeback and and the post-financial crisis rally. The latest leg of the post-financial crisis rally…Read More

Category: Investing, Markets, Technical Analysis

Revisiting Reflexivity: Contextualizing Cause & Effect

Source: Doubleline, ZeroHedge   The chart above has been making the rounds ever since Jeff Gundlach showed it in his most recent quarterly update. Call it a Rorschach test: It can be used to demonstrate pretty much whatever the author desires. I most commonly see it as “proof” that, but for the Fed’s QE program,…Read More

Category: Federal Reserve, Investing, Technical Analysis

Fusion Research Equity Market Review: April 29th 2013

Category: Technical Analysis, Think Tank

Contextualizing Retracements By Time Frame

The meme of this morning was “Gold has already regained half of its losses.” That was the chatter I keep hearing. (The comment was blindly repeated by the usual suspects). As discussed earlier, I am now on all sorts of email lists informing me what a fantastic buying opportunity this drop was — but you…Read More

Category: Gold & Precious Metals, Investing, Technical Analysis