Posts filed under “Technical Analysis”
From Merrill Lynch’s technical team:
The Most Active A-D line breaks to new highs
The Most Active Advance-Decline (A-D) line is a market breadth indicator of the daily top 15 most active stocks by share volume in the US. These stocks are generally more liquid with larger market caps where the trading is dominated by institutional investors. The Most Active A-D line has moved to new highs, which is bullish for the US equity market. This is similar to the breakout for the Most Active A-D line in late April (Chart Talk, 30 April 2013) and confirms the strength in the stocks only A-D lines (Chart Talk, 10 July 2013).
In addition, unlike the S&P 500, the Most Active A-D line did not break the uptrend line from last November. Strong market breadth supports the case for a continued US equity market rally. See Market Analysis Comment, 09 July 2013 and Chart Talk, 10 July 2013 for more details and key technical levels for the S&P 500.
Most Active A-D line: new highs & uptrend line from Nov intact
Stephen Suttmeier and Jue Xiong
Bank of America Merrill Lynch, July 11, 2013
Category: Technical Analysis
Click to enlarge Merrill Lynch continues to point out that the Street remains unenthusiastic about stocks: Sentiment ticks up to highest in 13mos, but still far from bullish The Sell Side Indicator — our measure of Wall Street’s bullishness on stocks — ticked up just slightly in June to 49.8 from 49.6. The…Read More
Back in my days as a trader, I would peruse the lists of 52 week lows looking for reversal candidates. The key was finding an intelligent entry that had a very tight stop, so it presented a good risk reward. I am happy to risk one dollar to make three. Slowly build the position over…Read More
Click to enlarge Yesterday, in response to our post on how wrong the public was back in this 2011 Gallup poll, the following suggestion was made: Which asset performed best is dependent on your definition of “long term”. 2011-2013 is at best medium term. Long term to most people means decades, 20 years or…Read More
Click to enlarge Major U.S. indices such as the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ Composite have both recently stabilized and bounced for the second time off their respective 50 day moving averages. Though historically June tends to be a negative month for stocks, with only 9 trading days left in the quarter we wonder aloud…Read More
Click to enlarge I do not ever recall seeing all these in one place in one chart: S&P 500, DJIA, Gold, Silver, West Texas Intermediate, Total Debt as a % of GDP and the US 10yr to 1850. Many of these are at or close to all time highs. (Note the exception is the…Read More
Click to enlarge I have to admit: I have never seen this ratio before. Standard & Poor’s 500 Index to profits at all U.S. companies. Its a price to earnings ratio of the main US stock market against ALL US earnings. According to this little used, odd ratio, Stocks are much cheaper after…Read More