Posts filed under “Think Tank”

Systemic Risk: A New Trade-off for Monetary Policy?

Category: Think Tank

Category: Think Tank

Monetary Policy Normalization in the United States

Category: Think Tank

Calibrating the GSIB Surcharge

Category: Think Tank

The Tyranny of the U.S. Criminal Justice System

How can the life of such a man Be in the palm of some fool’s hand? To see him obviously framed Couldn’t help but make me feel ashamed to live in a land Where justice is a game.—Bob Dylan, “Hurricane”     Justice in America is not all it’s cracked up to be. Just ask…Read More

Category: Legal, Philosophy, Really, really bad calls, Think Tank

Combining GDP and GDI for a Better Measure of the Economy Could Be Tricky Daniel Carroll, Jessica Ice Cleveland Fed, 7/20/15       After the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) released its latest estimate of real GDP growth for the first quarter of 2015—a disappointing −0.2 percent—economists began looking for reasons for the sudden…Read More

Category: Data Analysis, Economy, Think Tank

The Effect of the Strong Dollar on U.S. Growth

The Effect of the Strong Dollar on U.S. Growth Mary Amiti and Tyler Bodine-Smith Liberty Street Economics,  July 17, 2015   Correction: This post was updated on July 17 to replace the term “export volumes” with “real export values.” Although the terms are often used interchangeably, the term “real export values” is deemed more precise….Read More

Category: Currency, Economy, Think Tank

Trump Rules

He can’t win and he shouldn’t… But it’s mindblowing to watch the pundits and players react to his statements. I’ve got no love for John McCain, but he’s an untouchable. You can’t question the man because of his war hero status. But what if you questioned that itself? What if you refused to play by…Read More

Category: Cognitive Foibles, Corporate Management, Crony Capitalists, Politics, Think Tank

Three forces driving US long rates

From Deutsche Bank: A striking feature of my ongoing discussions with clients is that many still believe that as a result of secular stagnation “long rates will never go up”. The problem is that holding onto that view has been expensive for the past seven weeks. Long rates in the US are driven by 1)…Read More

Category: Federal Reserve, Fixed Income/Interest Rates, Markets, Think Tank

CIA Reactions to Finding No WMD in Iraq

    The National Security Archive has posted several newly available documents, one of them an account by Charles Duelfer of the search he led in Iraq for weapons of mass destruction, with a staff of 1,700 and the resources of the U.S. military. Duelfer was appointed by CIA Director George Tenet to lead a massive…Read More

Category: Really, really bad calls, Think Tank, War/Defense