Posts filed under “Trading”
Click for larger chart
Source: JPM Guide to the Markets (updated by me)
For today’s chart, I wanted to look at something unusual: the intra-year pullbacks of the past few decades.
As this chart (via JPMorgan Chase & Co.) shows, there is an average market drawdown of 14.7 percent. That period includes a few whopper years. Even if we were to back out the outliers — remove the five biggest drawdowns (34 percent, 30 percent, 34 percent, 49 percent and 28 percent — average drawdown of 35 percent within the year), we still see an 11.5 percent average intra-year drop.
“The $2.5 trillion hedge-fund industry, whose money managers are among the finance world’s highest paid, is headed for its worst annual performance relative to U.S. stocks since at least 2005. The funds returned 7.1 percent in 2013 through November, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. That’s 22 percentage points less than the 29.1 percent…Read More
The S&P 500 hit 1709 a few weeks back and has since been dropping precipitously, we are now down roughly 3.7% from that level in a short period of time. Heading into today, we’ve been negative 4 days straight and have seen losses during 9 of the last 11 days on both the S&P…Read More
“The intuitive mind is a sacred gift and the rational mind is a faithful servant. We have created a society that honors the servant and has forgotten the gift.” ~ Albert Einstein What is intuition and how might it help or hinder an investor’s decision making process? A good philosopher begins with definitions, otherwise they…Read More
How often do you make a decision to sell something for a giant gain? Quite a few times across the arc of a career, if you are a half-decent investor. But how often is that sell decision a terrible mistake? Today, I want to tell the tale of Warren Buffett’s bungled profit-taking in Exxon. We…Read More
A few weeks ago, Yale Professor Robert Shiller won the Nobel prize for his work on irrationality and inefficiency of markets. Since then, we have been treated to a plethora of stories on some of his other work — especially so-called CAPE, Shiller’s measure of long term valuation. The general consensus seems to be that…Read More
Nanex did some digging into market data before the Nasdaq blackout at 12:20 EDT on August 22, 2013. They discovered several significant periods of extremely high quote volume. By plotting the number of messages for each of the 6 multicast lines used by the Tape C SIP (Securities Information Processor), we discovered the quote blasts map directly to individual multicast lines.
Note that this is the data feed that Nasdaq claimed as the source of he bad data.
“The first chart above plots the number of messages for each multicast line between 10:50 and 12:10 EDT. Note there are several message surges: each of which is confined to an individual multicast lines (single color). The surge on line #6 at 10:55 (red line) is from zeroed bids and asks from ARCA (this is detailed in another chart below). The 3 surges at 11:48 (blue), 11:50 (red) and 11:54 (green) are actually from a resending of the previous 50 minutes worth of quotes as if they were new quotes. Each quote had a new timestamp and marked as if it were real-time – which caused these quotes to update the NBBO! We detail this in the stock ORLY in 2 below.”
We are slowly destroying the core structure of our capital markets.
We previously discussed what actually happens at the end of Trading Places (July 20th, 2013). As a follow up, Businessweek cornered legendary actor, comedian and entrepreneur Dan Aykroyd to find out why “Trading Places” is the greatest business movie of all time. Bloomberg, August 6 2013
Wherever you see red in the charts below, that’s when HFT received an unfair trading advantage and front ran other traders and investors. Click through, scroll down a bit, then hit start for samples of HFT front running Source: Nanex Nanex observes that: “Each chart plots trades and quote spreads from Nasdaq and…Read More