Posts filed under “Trading”
My Sunday Washington Post Business Section column is out. This morning, we revisit the advantages the long term passive indexer has versus short term active traders.
The print version had the full headline The trader can narrow the gap but won’t win, while online, it was called No matter what, the long-term investor comes out ahead of the short-term trader.
Many of you wrote in to point out some errors I made that disadvantaged the trader. In this week’s column, I took reader’s suggestions about taxes and dividends. I made the appropriate adjustments in the trader’s favor:
“Last time, we looked at why traders are at an almost insurmountable disadvantage against investors due to short-term capital gains taxes. Many of you wrote in to note several factors that would have allowed the active trader to narrow the gap against the long-term investor. A few of you asked how likely it was that a trader would outperform by that margin year after year. This week, I want to review those issues readers raised, looking to see how they affected our competition between the long-term indexer and the short-term trader.
Spoiler alert: The issues to which I gave short shrift did improve the performance of the trader, but not nearly enough to narrow the gap between the two. Let’s look at the details”
The takeaway is that short term trader’s have a remarkable bogey to over come: The much higher rate they pay for capital taxes.
No matter what, the long-term investor comes out ahead of the short-term trader
Washington Post, August 10 2014
Last month, I spilled a considerable number of pixels explaining why Rupert Murdoch’s Time Warner bid had no significance to whether or not this is a market top. My short list included complaints of cherry picked data that somehow ignored most of Murdoch’s M&A activity over the past half century; a laughably small sample size…Read More
Welcome back from the long holiday weekend. Before we left for our nation’s birthday celebration, markets had a little party of their own: The Dow had broken 17,000, the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index had touched a record high and was spitting distance from crossing 2,000. Even the small-cap indexes such as the Russell 2000…Read More
Source: Goldman Sachs via FT Alphaville Despite what you might have heard recently, as it turns out, periods of low volatility are not particularly unusual. Have a look at the chart nearby. It comes to us from Goldman Sachs via FT Alphaville, and it shows that spikes in volatility are quite unusual. Periods of…Read More
Source: BCA Today’s chart comes to us from Chen Zhao of the Bank Credit Analyst, who writes in a research report: The financial services industry have (sic) begun to feel the pinch of the fallout from low volatility and zero interest rates. The average return delivered by hedge funds has fallen sharply since the…Read More
MTA Presentation: Risk, Trading & Neurofinance: “This Is Your Brain On Stocks” Click through for the free registration: MTA New York Chapter Meeting June 23, 2014 Featuring Barry Ritholtz presented by Bloomberg L.P. The New York Chapter of the MTA invites you to our next chapter meeting on Monday, June 23, 2014. We are…Read More
I have spilled a great deal of pixels and time in these pages discussing the importance of not letting your biases get the best of you as an investor. (See this, this, this, this, this, this, this, this, and this). Further, when you are wrong, you must do more than merely acknowledge it: Embrace the…Read More