1966-1982 Trading Range

Here’s the 1966-1982 trading range:

>
click for larger chart

19661982_range

chart courtesy of Rydex Funds

>

If we are in fact in a long, post-Bull trading range — see our 100-year Dow chart — than this is year ~5 of what could be a 10-15 year secular Bear market. As the 1966-82 trading range above shows, we may be in for violent moves down and rapid blast offs.

The March to December 2003 cyclical move higher is very consistent with this trading environment.

I am placing us somewhere around late 1972 . . .

Category: Markets

2 Studies on the Flattening Yield Curve

Category: Federal Reserve, Fixed Income/Interest Rates, Inflation, Technical Analysis

Alaska is Melting . . .

It seems that the melting polar ice is becoming more of a concern to Alaskans than those of us in the lower 48. click for larger graphic courtesy of  Anchorage Daily News > Thank goodness there’s no Global Warming — imagine how much more of Alaska would be melting if there was! > See also:…Read More

Category: Science, Technical Analysis, UnScience

100 Year Dow Jones Industrials Chart

Have a look at this 100 year (actually, 105-Year) chart. I colored each “Market” appropriately — Green for Bull, and Red for Bear — to more clearly show what happens. Bull markets get ahead of themselves. At their ends, they tend towards excesses that take a very long while to recover from. When a long…Read More

Category: Markets, Psychology, Technical Analysis

Explaining Yield Curve Inversions

Category: Economy, Federal Reserve, Fixed Income/Interest Rates, Inflation

Barron’s picks up “The Real Job Growth Numbers”

Category: Media

Read it here first: The Multiplex Under Siege

Category: Film, Financial Press

Promotion and Distribution via ITMS

Category: Film, Intellectual Property, Music, Television

4 Year Presidential Cycle

This is the first of 4 charts I plan on revealing this week. Each one will hopefully shed some insight into what we may expect in 2006. This chart shows what is known as the 4 year or Presidential Cycle. The theory behind this is that U.S. markets have a tendency to make a high…Read More

Category: Markets, Technical Analysis

Inverted Yield Curve: Its different this time (not)

Category: Federal Reserve, Fixed Income/Interest Rates, Inflation, Technical Analysis