A few words on Richard Russell

More than a few of you have emailed me about Richard Russell’s "Bullish reversal." Jeff Saut made short work of that canard today, so rather than reinvent the wheel, I’ll simply refer to his eloquent dissection: 

"And to respond to the hundreds of phone-calls/emails we received when the media picked-up the notion that Richard Russell has turned bullish, we reply, “Horse Hockey!” I have read Dick Russell on/off for over 35 years. He identified the major bull market bottom in 1974 and the bull market top in 1999. Last week the octogenarian merely said that if the S&P 500 (SPX/1240.91) breaks out above 1250 technically it would indicate higher prices. He subsequently said that speculators could buy the S&P Spyders (SPY/124.60) with an attendant stop-loss point of 1218 (at the time the SPY’s were around 1230).

To quote the savvy Mr. Russell, “The media picked this up, and the word went out that I had ‘turned bullish.’ They got it wrong. There’s a difference between a speculative trade, and turning bullish on the big picture. I am not bullish on the big picture. But a good trade is a good trade. And they don’t come along every day.

Nuff said . . .

Sources:
“Why Own Gold?!”
Jeffrey Saut
Investment Strategy, September 12, 2005
http://www.raymondjames.com/inv_strat.htm

Sprott’s researchers connect the dots
Peter Brimelow
MarketWatch, 6:35 AM ET Sept. 9, 2005 
http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story.asp?dist=morenews&param=archive&siteid=
mktw&guid=%7B4D6EA397%2D1A92%2D4662%2DB157%2D13B33B17A4A7%7D&garden=&minisite=

Category: Investing

More Stupidity from the Conference Board

Category: Commodities, Economy

Delayed Onset: Some Historical Comparisons

Category: Investing, Markets, Psychology

9/11

Category: Psychology, War/Defense

Presidential Cycles

This weeks Barron’s has an interesting chart from Sy Harding. If you are unfamiliar with Harding’s work, have a look at his prescient 1999 book, “Riding the Bear: How to Prosper in the Coming Bear Market.” (Spend the $1.49 on used copy — its well worth it). Harding suggests that: “UNLESS I’M LOOKING AT the…Read More

Category: Markets, Technical Analysis

New Column up at Real Money (09/09/05)

Category: Media

The Disconnect and Economic Classes

Category: Economy, Psychology

Briefing.com

Category: Media

Barrons picks up “Katrina Lowers Year End Expectations”

Category: Media

Sector Analysis

Category: Investing, Markets