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	<title>The Big Picture &#187; our ratings remain L.” While many Street analysts seem</title>
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	<description>Macro Perspective on the Capital Markets, Economy, Geopolitics, Technology, and Digital Media</description>
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		<title>Sell Rating on Brokers</title>
		<link>http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2008/06/sell-rating-on-brokers/</link>
		<comments>http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2008/06/sell-rating-on-brokers/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 09 Jun 2008 13:15:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Barry Ritholtz</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Corporate Management]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Credit]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Derivatives]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Earnings]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Valuation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[and looking for more complete disclosure.

Leveraged lo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[and the
rating agencies moved to downgrade non-resident]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[as commercial banks showed higher credit losses in othe]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[hedging losses
and reversals of the gains on structured]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[http://bigpicture.typepad.com/comments/files/brokers_ma]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[into Lehman’s $6.5B “other” asset-backed securities cat]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[our ratings remain
L.”  While many Street analysts seem]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[so we are
watching out for potential surprises]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[we
would question whether there are other securitized p]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[we are more concerned about the unknowns rather
than wh]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[we may observe further spreading of
the write-downs (i.]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[which received a gross
mark of just $200M in Q1’08).]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Note: <em>This was written Sunday, and scheduled to post later this week &#8212; but given the Lehman news, its more timely this AM:</em></p>
<p><span style="color: #ffffff;">&gt;</span><br />We have been discussing some of the issues surrounding the brokers. We have had an &quot;AVOID&quot; on the sector for the past 2 years (due to balance sheet concerns), and we reiterated a sell on Lehman Brothers (LEH) last week for due to Technical factors. (My pal Charlie Gasparino disagrees with me on this). </p>
<p>Research from Portales reveals the some of the details regarding exposure to further write-downs. </p>
<p><span style="color: #ffffff;">&gt;</span></p>
<p><em><br />click for larger table</em></p>
<p><a href="http://bigpicture.typepad.com/comments/files/brokers_major_asset_class_writedowns_q208.png"><img width="500" height="374" border="0" src="/images/archives/comments/images/2008/06/07/brokers_major_asset_class_writedown.png" title="Brokers_major_asset_class_writedown" alt="Brokers_major_asset_class_writedown" /></a></p>
<p>Source: Portales</p>
<p><span style="color: #ffffff;">&gt;</span></p>
<p>I do not have high expectations for sector earnings in Q2’08, with more write-downs of RMBS, weak underwriting activity, and questionable trading returns.</p>
<p>
<p><span style="color: #ffffff;">&gt;</span></p>
<p><em></em></p>
<p><em>Previously:</em><br /><a href="http://bigpicture.typepad.com/comments/2008/06/dirty-tricks-at.html">Dirty Tricks at Lehman?</a> (June 2008)&nbsp; <br />http://bigpicture.typepad.com/comments/2008/06/dirty-tricks-at.html</p>
<p><em></p>
<p>Related:</em><br /><a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB121296377617855623.html">Lehman Set To Raise $5 Billion Amid Losses</a> (WSJ)<br />http://online.wsj.com/article/SB121296377617855623.html</p>
<p><a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&amp;sid=aUaJYcbwzbjI&amp;">Lehman Sheds at Least $120 Billion of Assets to End Bear Stigma</a> (Bloomberg)&nbsp; &nbsp;http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&amp;sid=aUaJYcbwzbjI&amp;&nbsp; </p>
<p><a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB121296970442155821.html">Where Will U.S. Banks Beg Next?</a> (WSJ)<br />http://online.wsj.com/article/SB121296970442155821.html</p>
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