marketletter | About the Marketletter |
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Our goal is to provide subscribers with a broad overview of the markets and the macro economy. At the same time, we provide specific advise as to how to position assets right now. The key is determining whether risk versus rewards. Our highest "value-add" is the early detection of increasing risks and developing opportunities in equities, commodities and fixed income. Our goal is investor outperformance, achieved by: - Finding low risk, high return opportunities; We publish at least 2X per month (often, more frequently). We also publish specific updates when a major shift occurs in the investment environment. These have included Bullish calls on Gold in 2002, on Equities early in 2003 and Oil late in 2003, on Japan in 2004 and on Gold (again) in 2005. We have a decidedly different approach than other newsletters you might be familiar with. Most research firms that specialize in economic analysis and market/investment research get lost in a sea of data. They spend too much time obsessing about this data point or that economic release so that they lose sight of the big picture. Not here. All of our analytical work, economic research and market analysis is geared towards three elements: Situational awareness, contrarian insight, actionable intelligence. Situational awareness is the ability to see the battlefield, despite the fog. Its understanding what is actually happening beneath the headlines. We never rely solely upon government data, choosing instead to contextualize the information within the larger trend. Contrarian insight requires learning what most investors, analysts and media falsely believe to be true – and then adapting from there. We believe it is a losing strategy over the long run to merely take the opposite position of the crowd, as the crowd is often right. The key is to discern when the herd has turned into an unthinking mob of hooligans. This “variant perception” can lead to extremely profitable investing situations; it also helps alert us to periods of increased risk. Actionable intelligence is a combination of strategic vision – understanding the high probability market outcomes – with shorter term tactical positioning. We establish longer and shorter term positioning for each of your key asset classes – equities, fixed income, real estate, commodities, cash. We will show you what is happening in the economy, and explain how this can impact the markets – and in plain English! ~~~ Our analyses will help you cut through the clutter, dissect the data that matters most, and most importantly, respond accordingly.
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